The 2021 season was Soto’s third in the big leagues this his fourth year. Though he made his MLB debut late in 2020, Carlson was a rookie in ’ is his second year. But let’s go back to the WAR comparison since the outset of 2021. There’s obviously a gap – advantage, Soto – but what about value for the dollar? Soto already makes substantially more money, and his salaries over the next two seasons will make Carlson an even larger bargain by comparison. – Since the start of the 2021 season, Soto has 9.3 WAR to Carlson’s 4.7. ![]() Does that surprise you? It surprised me, and I’m usually on top of this stuff. ![]() – That’s why, if you look at the FanGraphs version of Wins Above Replacement, you’d see this: Soto ranks 4th among MLB outfielders with 2.3 WAR, and Carlson is 7th with 2.1 WAR. And Carlson is the superior baserunner by a significant measure. But in evaluating the two outfielders, Carlson is better defensively than Soto. – I’m not suggesting that Carlson is as good as Soto offensively. ![]() Technically Carlson is two days older than Soto, but let’s go ahead and call it a tie. – First of all Carlson is just as young as Soto (23). Carlson’s name is being cited in most fantasy–trade suggestions, but I’m not wild about the idea. I have no idea if the Cardinals would have to send Dylan Carlson to Washington in a potential trade package for Juan Soto.
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